Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from SEC filings.
AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION INC
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-62.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-29.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
31.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $4.61 | -90.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $44.74 | -3.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $180.16 | 290.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $29.63 | -35.7% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $32.60 | -29.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $76.32 | 65.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $5.20 | -88.7% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, APEI appears fairly valued at the current price of $46.10. The base case fair value of $32.60 implies 29.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
