Ashtead Group plc
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-38.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-2.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
39.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $77.53 | 6.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $64.05 | -12.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $36.20 | -50.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $114.72 | 57.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $109.20 | 50.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $38.44 | -47.2% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, ASHGY appears fairly valued at the current price of $72.75. The base case fair value of $70.79 implies 2.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.