ASM International N.V.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-83.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-80.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-62.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $64.92 | -93.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $517.62 | -48.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $496.34 | -50.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $193.48 | -80.6% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $244.56 | -75.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $191.11 | -80.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $130.41 | -86.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ASMXF appears overvalued at the current price of $994.85. The base case fair value of $193.48 implies 80.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.