High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$3.76
-22.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$6.08
25.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$7.53
55.3% vs price
$3.76$6.08$7.53
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$1.43
-70.5%
High (40%)
PE Comparable
$6.08
25.4%
Medium (25%)
Graham Number
$8.98
85.2%
High (80%)
Interpretation
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, ASRV appears fairly valued at the current price of $4.85. The base case fair value of $6.08 implies 25.4% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
