Avidia Bancorp, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-79.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-47.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-26.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-2.42 | -111.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $11.50 | -47.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $20.91 | -5.0% | High (80%) |
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, AVBC appears overvalued at the current price of $22.00. The base case fair value of $11.50 implies 47.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.