American Express Company
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-45.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-21.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
13.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $326.90 | -2.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $199.94 | -40.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $547.18 | 63.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $133.84 | -60.1% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, AXP appears fairly valued at the current price of $335.39. The base case fair value of $263.42 implies 21.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.