BAE Systems plc
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-51.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-33.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-16.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $12.29 | -54.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $25.54 | -5.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $19.40 | -28.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $10.81 | -60.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $14.13 | -47.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $35.05 | 29.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $18.12 | -33.0% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, BAESF appears overvalued at the current price of $27.05. The base case fair value of $18.12 implies 33.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.