BAE Systems plc
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-57.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-45.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-16.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $38.04 | -64.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $102.21 | -5.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $77.62 | -28.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $43.19 | -60.0% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $49.21 | -54.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $134.94 | 25.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $58.86 | -45.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, BAESY appears overvalued at the current price of $107.92. The base case fair value of $58.86 implies 45.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.