High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$3.49
-5.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$6.02
62.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$8.56
130.7% vs price
$3.49$6.02$8.56
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$0.95
-74.4%
High (40%)
Graham Number
$11.10
199.2%
Medium (40%)
Interpretation
Based on 2 out of 8 methods, BCTX appears fairly valued at the current price of $3.71. The base case fair value of $6.02 implies 62.3% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
