High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$2.46
-83.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$4.27
-72.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$6.08
-60.1% vs price
$2.46$4.27$6.08
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
EV/EBITDA
$0.65
-95.8%
Medium (20%)
EV/FCF
$7.89
-48.2%
Medium (20%)
Interpretation
Based on 2 out of 8 methods, BLZE appears overvalued at the current price of $15.24. The base case fair value of $4.27 implies 72.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.