British American Tobacco p.l.c.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-8.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
24.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
88.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $176.46 | 190.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $89.06 | 46.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $75.55 | 24.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $48.90 | -19.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $53.76 | -11.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $139.99 | 130.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $57.75 | -5.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, BTI appears fairly valued at the current price of $60.82. The base case fair value of $75.55 implies 24.2% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.