Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
CATERPILLAR INC
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-67.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-52.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-45.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $340.49 | -52.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $451.97 | -36.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $363.48 | -48.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $155.57 | -78.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $243.66 | -65.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $406.17 | -42.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $223.58 | -68.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, CAT appears overvalued at the current price of $710.83. The base case fair value of $340.49 implies 52.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.