Caterpillar Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-73.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-65.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-51.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $212.88 | -76.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $388.58 | -57.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $505.67 | -44.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $143.76 | -84.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $318.44 | -65.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $490.89 | -46.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $278.81 | -69.4% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CAT appears overvalued at the current price of $910.57. The base case fair value of $318.44 implies 65.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.