High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$10.05
-73.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$16.21
-56.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$23.52
-37.1% vs price
$10.05$16.21$23.52
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$3.90
-89.6%
High (40%)
PE Comparable
$16.21
-56.6%
Medium (25%)
Graham Number
$30.82
-17.5%
High (80%)
Interpretation
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, CBFV appears overvalued at the current price of $37.37. The base case fair value of $16.21 implies 56.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.