Compagnie Financière Richemont S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-67.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-60.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-13.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $4.41 | -81.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $19.13 | -19.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $27.83 | 17.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $9.12 | -61.6% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $9.41 | -60.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $21.97 | -7.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $6.34 | -73.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CFRUY appears overvalued at the current price of $23.74. The base case fair value of $9.41 implies 60.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.