Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-45.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-35.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-19.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $67.88 | 109.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $20.57 | -36.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $23.93 | -26.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $7.37 | -77.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $14.86 | -54.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $20.87 | -35.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $28.20 | -12.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, CMG appears overvalued at the current price of $32.36. The base case fair value of $20.87 implies 35.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.