CNH Industrial N.V.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-46.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-11.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
73.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $3.40 | -70.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $6.00 | -47.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $6.59 | -42.4% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $21.88 | 91.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $32.68 | 185.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $13.80 | 20.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, CNHI appears fairly valued at the current price of $11.45. The base case fair value of $10.19 implies 11.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.