The Vita Coco Company, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-74.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-67.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-43.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $22.27 | -67.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $33.24 | -50.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $96.30 | 42.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $15.40 | -77.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $16.52 | -75.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $43.73 | -35.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $17.55 | -74.0% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, COCO appears overvalued at the current price of $67.57. The base case fair value of $22.27 implies 67.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.