ConocoPhillips
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-22.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
5.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
61.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $109.66 | -5.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $72.42 | -37.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $82.55 | -28.6% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $204.23 | 76.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $245.73 | 112.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $135.01 | 16.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, COP appears fairly valued at the current price of $115.58. The base case fair value of $122.34 implies 5.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.