High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$0.25
-94.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$0.30
-93.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$3.70
-21.6% vs price
$0.25$0.30$3.70
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$0.30
-93.7%
High (40%)
PE Comparable
$0.30
-93.6%
Medium (25%)
Growth Trajectory DCF
$0.11
-97.7%
Medium (20%)
EV/EBITDA
$13.89
194.2%
Medium (20%)
Interpretation
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, ESBA appears overvalued at the current price of $4.72. The base case fair value of $0.30 implies 93.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
