High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$3.14
-32.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$6.14
32.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$9.14
97.0% vs price
$3.14$6.14$9.14
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
Growth Trajectory DCF
$0.14
-97.0%
Medium (20%)
EV/FCF
$12.14
161.7%
Medium (20%)
Interpretation
Based on 2 out of 8 methods, ESRT appears fairly valued at the current price of $4.64. The base case fair value of $6.14 implies 32.3% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
