High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$0.47
-94.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$3.76
-53.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$8.20
1.4% vs price
$0.47$3.76$8.20
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$7.00
-13.5%
High (40%)
PE Comparable
$0.34
-95.9%
Medium (25%)
Graham Number
$0.52
-93.6%
Low (10%)
EV/FCF
$11.80
45.8%
Medium (20%)
Interpretation
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, EVC appears fairly valued at the current price of $8.09. The base case fair value of $3.76 implies 53.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
