High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$9.42
-48.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$16.93
-7.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$19.07
4.1% vs price
$9.42$16.93$19.07
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$1.91
-89.6%
High (40%)
PE Comparable
$16.93
-7.6%
Medium (25%)
Graham Number
$21.21
15.8%
High (80%)
Interpretation
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, FVCB appears fairly valued at the current price of $18.32. The base case fair value of $16.93 implies 7.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
