High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$1.93
-90.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$3.40
-82.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$12.13
-38.4% vs price
$1.93$3.40$12.13
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
PE Comparable
$0.45
-97.7%
Medium (25%)
Graham Number
$3.40
-82.7%
Low (10%)
EV/EBITDA
$20.87
5.9%
Medium (20%)
Interpretation
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, FVR appears overvalued at the current price of $19.70. The base case fair value of $3.40 implies 82.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
