Graham Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-87.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-83.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-81.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-1.12 | -101.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $21.89 | -79.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $15.86 | -84.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $17.94 | -82.9% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $20.57 | -80.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $11.68 | -88.9% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, GHM appears overvalued at the current price of $105.12. The base case fair value of $16.90 implies 83.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.