Graphic Packaging Holding Company
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-10.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
15.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
61.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $3.22 | -70.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $12.39 | 12.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $7.26 | -34.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $12.92 | 17.5% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $45.21 | 311.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $12.74 | 15.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $22.68 | 106.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, GPK appears fairly valued at the current price of $11.00. The base case fair value of $12.74 implies 15.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.