High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$11.49
46.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$17.86
128.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$23.08
195.1% vs price
$11.49$17.86$23.08
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$12.75
63.0%
High (40%)
EV/EBITDA
$23.39
199.1%
Medium (20%)
EV/FCF
$22.98
193.9%
Medium (20%)
Earnings Power Value
$7.72
-1.3%
Medium (50%)
Interpretation
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, GRFS appears undervalued at the current price of $7.82. The base case fair value of $17.86 implies 128.4% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
