Gates Industrial Corporation plc
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-49.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-37.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-14.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $4.23 | -84.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $18.77 | -29.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $16.19 | -39.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $16.67 | -37.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $26.84 | 1.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $32.18 | 21.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $10.50 | -60.4% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, GTES appears overvalued at the current price of $26.55. The base case fair value of $16.67 implies 37.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.