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Fair value · Haynes International, Inc. (HAYN) · updated 2026-09-12 · from 10-K FY2023

Haynes International trades at $60.99. That price implies a P/E of 21.0×, 10.0% yearly EPS growth for a decade and 11.2× EV/EBITDA.

Previous close (2024-07-03)

Are those assumptions reasonable? Use HAYN’s filed growth history and the AI chat to decide, then set your own inputs below — the range you build is yours.

What the price implies

P/E
21.0×

price ÷ trailing EPS

EPS growth
10.0%

per year for 10 years, discounted at 10%

EV/EBITDA
11.2×

(market cap + net debt) ÷ EBITDA

Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings. This price: Previous close (2024-07-03).

With preset inputs the methods land at $31$53 (presets are filed history and our reference settings, not a recommendation)

Price $60.99
Bear $31Base $47Bull $53

How each method got its number

Bear, base and bull are the 25th, 50th and 75th percentile of the methods that produced a usable estimate. Weights say how much a method is trusted for this sector; they do not change the range.

MethodEstimatevs price
Earnings Power Value
High weight

Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value: what current earnings are worth if they never grow. Everything above it is what you pay for growth.

Using normalized EBIT (3-year average)

$13-79%
DCF
High weight

Projects free cash flow for the coming years and discounts it back to today. The most complete method, and the most sensitive to the growth and discount-rate assumptions.

$31-48%
Graham Number
High weight

Benjamin Graham’s 1949 rule of thumb: √(22.5 × EPS × book value). It punishes asset-light companies, so it reads low for big tech.

$47-22%
EV/EBITDA
Medium weight

Values the whole business at 10× EBITDA and divides by the share count. A mid-cycle industrial multiple; fast growers trade far above it.

$53-12%
P/E vs sector
Medium weight

Trailing diluted EPS times the sector median P/E. What the stock would be worth if the market priced it like an average peer.

$56-8%
Growth-trajectory DCF
Medium weight

A two-stage DCF that grows earnings at the company’s own EPS trend, then fades to the industry’s long-run rate.

No trajectory data available

No estimate
P/B vs sector
High weight

Sector median price-to-book times book value per share. Works for banks and asset-heavy businesses, says little about software.

P/B comparable is optional for non-financial companies

No estimate
EV/FCF
Medium weight

20× free cash flow per share, i.e. a 5% cash yield. Reads low for companies the market expects to keep growing.

Negative FCF — common for growth companies; ratio not meaningful

No estimate

What this means

  • The methods differ by about 70%, from $31 to $53. That is normal: cash-flow methods and peer multiples see different things. Use the range, not a single number.
  • The base case, $47, is the median of the 5 methods with data. It assumes Haynes International’s current margins, cash generation and share count persist; it does not price in a new product cycle, a recession or a buyback surge.
  • The number moves when the filings move. The next 10-Q replaces the oldest quarter in the trailing-twelve-month EPS and cash-flow inputs; the last one (Q3 FY2024) was filed 2024-08-01. The price changes every day; the fair value only changes with the filings.

The filing behind these numbers

Haynes International, Inc.
Revenue
$590.0M
Diluted EPS
$3.26
Free cash flow
$-33.1M
operating cash flow − capital expenditure
Diluted shares
12.8M
weighted average

10-K FY2023 · fiscal year ended 2023-09-30 · filed 2023-11-16

Trailing-twelve-month EPS also uses the quarterly 10-Qs through Q3 FY2024 (filed 2024-08-01).

Open the 10-K list on sec.govCIK 858655
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