Hermes International SCA
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-69.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-60.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-8.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $417.14 | -77.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $1630.50 | -13.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $2478.94 | 32.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $592.98 | -68.4% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $739.77 | -60.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $1788.42 | -4.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $550.40 | -70.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, HESAF appears overvalued at the current price of $1875.85. The base case fair value of $739.77 implies 60.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.