High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$0.25
-98.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$0.35
-97.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$1.37
-88.8% vs price
$0.25$0.35$1.37
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$4.14
-66.3%
High (40%)
EV/EBITDA
$0.25
-97.9%
Medium (20%)
EV/FCF
$0.25
-97.9%
Medium (20%)
Earnings Power Value
$0.45
-96.3%
Medium (50%)
Interpretation
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, HLIT appears overvalued at the current price of $12.28. The base case fair value of $0.35 implies 97.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
