Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
HOYA Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-61.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-50.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-30.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $68.09 | -56.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $116.54 | -25.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $170.95 | 9.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $47.07 | -69.9% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $77.28 | -50.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $101.47 | -35.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $52.50 | -66.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, HOCPY appears overvalued at the current price of $156.17. The base case fair value of $77.28 implies 50.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.