Howmet Aerospace Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-86.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-80.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-73.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $32.27 | -88.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $83.40 | -71.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $106.29 | -63.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $35.85 | -87.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $56.29 | -80.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $71.04 | -75.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $39.73 | -86.2% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, HWM appears overvalued at the current price of $287.94. The base case fair value of $56.29 implies 80.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.