Hexcel Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-82.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-72.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-66.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $6.16 | -93.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $29.39 | -69.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $26.54 | -72.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $23.20 | -76.3% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $37.11 | -62.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $63.19 | -35.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $12.04 | -87.7% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, HXL appears overvalued at the current price of $97.71. The base case fair value of $26.54 implies 72.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.