High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$5.58
31.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$9.27
118.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$13.03
207.3% vs price
$5.58$9.27$13.03
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$12.23
188.4%
High (40%)
EV/EBITDA
$6.32
49.0%
Medium (20%)
EV/FCF
$15.45
264.4%
Medium (20%)
Earnings Power Value
$3.38
-20.3%
Medium (50%)
Interpretation
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, IRWD appears undervalued at the current price of $4.24. The base case fair value of $9.27 implies 118.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
