Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from SEC filings.
Johnson Controls International plc
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-61.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-59.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-29.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $54.12 | -61.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $109.75 | -21.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $159.01 | 14.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $52.17 | -62.5% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $55.79 | -59.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $87.59 | -37.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $27.63 | -80.2% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, JCI appears overvalued at the current price of $139.25. The base case fair value of $55.79 implies 59.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.