High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$8.31
-18.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$16.57
63.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$18.48
82.2% vs price
$8.31$16.57$18.48
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$0.04
-99.6%
High (40%)
PE Comparable
$16.57
63.4%
Medium (25%)
Graham Number
$20.39
101.1%
High (80%)
Interpretation
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, LIEN appears fairly valued at the current price of $10.14. The base case fair value of $16.57 implies 63.4% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
