McDonald's Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-26.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-20.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-10.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-236.13 | -187.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $227.44 | -16.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $248.25 | -8.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $205.16 | -24.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $197.34 | -27.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $492.65 | 82.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, MCD appears overvalued at the current price of $270.67. The base case fair value of $216.30 implies 20.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.