Microchip Technology Incorporated
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-91.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-90.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-77.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $8.48 | -91.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $6.52 | -93.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $8.34 | -91.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $25.87 | -73.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $32.17 | -66.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $9.51 | -90.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, MCHP appears overvalued at the current price of $95.63. The base case fair value of $8.99 implies 90.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.