Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from SEC filings.
MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-67.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-17.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
0.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $8.74 | -92.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $117.54 | -4.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $131.48 | 6.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $64.99 | -47.4% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $102.64 | -17.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $172.66 | 39.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $16.45 | -86.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, MCRI appears fairly valued at the current price of $123.62. The base case fair value of $102.64 implies 17.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
