Mitek Systems, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-59.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-57.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-12.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $7.76 | -58.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $11.96 | -36.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $26.56 | 40.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $7.45 | -60.5% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $8.06 | -57.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $21.27 | 12.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $3.30 | -82.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, MITK appears overvalued at the current price of $18.88. The base case fair value of $8.06 implies 57.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.