Altria Group, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-39.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
4.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
35.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-70.25 | -196.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $87.78 | 20.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $37.56 | -48.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $64.59 | -11.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $102.84 | 41.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $107.70 | 47.8% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, MO appears fairly valued at the current price of $72.89. The base case fair value of $76.19 implies 4.5% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.