Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from SEC filings.
MOVADO GROUP INC
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-44.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-11.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
38.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $13.61 | -60.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $34.10 | -1.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $61.68 | 78.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $30.45 | -11.8% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $19.67 | -43.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $63.94 | 85.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $18.46 | -46.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, MOV appears fairly valued at the current price of $34.52. The base case fair value of $30.45 implies 11.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
