Morgan Stanley
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-49.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-36.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-21.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $43.85 | -80.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $148.67 | -34.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $265.92 | 16.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $140.12 | -38.5% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, MS appears overvalued at the current price of $227.67. The base case fair value of $144.39 implies 36.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.