High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$4.64
-78.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$10.64
-50.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$16.78
-22.5% vs price
$4.64$10.64$16.78
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$1.15
-94.7%
High (40%)
PE Comparable
$20.66
-4.6%
Medium (25%)
Graham Number
$15.48
-28.5%
Medium (30%)
EV/EBITDA
$5.80
-73.2%
Medium (20%)
Interpretation
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, MUX appears overvalued at the current price of $21.66. The base case fair value of $10.64 implies 50.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
