Fair value · NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS Ltd (NAT) · updated 2026-09-21 · from annual report FY2025
NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS trades at $8.24. That price implies a P/E of 137×, 19.5% yearly EPS growth for a decade and 20.1× EV/EBITDA.
Cboe · delayed 15 min · as of 03:40 ET
Are those assumptions reasonable? Use NAT’s filed growth history and the AI chat to decide, then set your own inputs below — the range you build is yours.
What the price implies
- P/E
- 137×
- EPS growth
- 19.5%
- EV/EBITDA
- 20.1×
price ÷ trailing EPS
per year for 10 years, discounted at 10%
(market cap + net debt) ÷ EBITDA
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings. This price: Cboe · delayed 15 min · as of 03:40 ET.
With preset inputs the methods land at $1.56 – $4.01 (presets are filed history and our reference settings, not a recommendation)
How each method got its number
Bear, base and bull are the 25th, 50th and 75th percentile of the methods that produced a usable estimate. Weights say how much a method is trusted for this sector; they do not change the range.
| Method | Estimate | vs price | Weight | Why this method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
P/E vs sector Medium weight Trailing diluted EPS times the sector median P/E. What the stock would be worth if the market priced it like an average peer. | $1.16 | -86% | Medium weight | Trailing diluted EPS times the sector median P/E. What the stock would be worth if the market priced it like an average peer. |
Graham Number High weight Benjamin Graham’s 1949 rule of thumb: √(22.5 × EPS × book value). It punishes asset-light companies, so it reads low for big tech. | $1.69 | -80% | High weight | Benjamin Graham’s 1949 rule of thumb: √(22.5 × EPS × book value). It punishes asset-light companies, so it reads low for big tech. |
EV/EBITDA Medium weight Values the whole business at 10× EBITDA and divides by the share count. A mid-cycle industrial multiple; fast growers trade far above it. | $3.21 | -61% | Medium weight | Values the whole business at 10× EBITDA and divides by the share count. A mid-cycle industrial multiple; fast growers trade far above it. |
Earnings Power Value High weight Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value: what current earnings are worth if they never grow. Everything above it is what you pay for growth. Using normalized EBIT (3-year average) | $6.43 | -22% | High weight | Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value: what current earnings are worth if they never grow. Everything above it is what you pay for growth. |
DCF High weight Projects free cash flow for the coming years and discounts it back to today. The most complete method, and the most sensitive to the growth and discount-rate assumptions. estimate at or below $0, or more than 4× away from the price | Not meaningful for this company | High weight | Projects free cash flow for the coming years and discounts it back to today. The most complete method, and the most sensitive to the growth and discount-rate assumptions. | |
Growth-trajectory DCF Medium weight A two-stage DCF that grows earnings at the company’s own EPS trend, then fades to the industry’s long-run rate. No trajectory data available | No estimate | Medium weight | A two-stage DCF that grows earnings at the company’s own EPS trend, then fades to the industry’s long-run rate. | |
P/B vs sector High weight Sector median price-to-book times book value per share. Works for banks and asset-heavy businesses, says little about software. P/B comparable is optional for non-financial companies | No estimate | High weight | Sector median price-to-book times book value per share. Works for banks and asset-heavy businesses, says little about software. | |
EV/FCF Medium weight 20× free cash flow per share, i.e. a 5% cash yield. Reads low for companies the market expects to keep growing. Negative FCF — common for growth companies; ratio not meaningful | No estimate | Medium weight | 20× free cash flow per share, i.e. a 5% cash yield. Reads low for companies the market expects to keep growing. | |
What this means
- A range of $1.56 to $4.01 means the methods disagree by more than 2×. They measure different things — cash the business earns today versus growth the market expects tomorrow — so treat the range as a rough guide, not a target.
- The base case, $2.45, is the median of the 4 methods with data. It assumes NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS’s current margins, cash generation and share count persist; it does not price in a new product cycle, a recession or a buyback surge.
- The number moves when the filings move: the next quarterly statement replaces the oldest quarter in the trailing-twelve-month EPS and cash-flow inputs. The price changes every day; the fair value only changes with the filings.
The filing behind these numbers
NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS Ltd- Revenue
- $291.7M
- Diluted EPS
- $0.06
- Free cash flow
- $-116.6M
- operating cash flow − capital expenditure
- Diluted shares
- 211.8M
- weighted average
annual report FY2025 · fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · filed 2026-04-29 · accession 0001140361-26-017809
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The valuation data behind this page — DCF fair value, margin of safety, PE vs industry, analyst estimates — is also available programmatically through the EvidInvest MCP server & financial data API for Claude, Cursor, or any MCP client and HTTP pipeline.