nCino, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-83.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-77.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-72.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $4.39 | -78.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $3.05 | -85.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $5.03 | -75.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $5.88 | -71.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $19.62 | -5.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $0.46 | -97.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, NCNO appears overvalued at the current price of $20.69. The base case fair value of $4.71 implies 77.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.