The Progressive Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-32.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-8.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
52.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $128.15 | -40.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $241.19 | 11.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $590.18 | 173.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $152.33 | -29.4% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, PGR appears fairly valued at the current price of $215.76. The base case fair value of $196.76 implies 8.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.