High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$1.55
-86.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$2.08
-82.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$5.42
-54.0% vs price
$1.55$2.08$5.42
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$0.05
-99.5%
High (40%)
EV/EBITDA
$2.10
-82.1%
Medium (20%)
EV/FCF
$15.39
30.6%
Medium (20%)
Earnings Power Value
$2.05
-82.6%
Medium (50%)
Interpretation
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, PHAR appears overvalued at the current price of $11.78. The base case fair value of $2.08 implies 82.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
