Douglas Dynamics, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-47.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-32.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-2.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $16.92 | -59.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $42.64 | 2.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $27.96 | -32.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $24.58 | -41.0% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $38.59 | -7.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $42.42 | 1.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $19.53 | -53.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, PLOW appears overvalued at the current price of $41.63. The base case fair value of $27.96 implies 32.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.