High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$4.73
-53.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$9.16
-9.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$14.37
42.7% vs price
$4.73$9.16$14.37
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
PE Comparable
$12.16
20.8%
Medium (25%)
Graham Number
$6.16
-38.8%
High (80%)
EV/FCF
$21.00
108.5%
Medium (20%)
Earnings Power Value
$0.44
-95.6%
High (70%)
Interpretation
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, QUAD appears fairly valued at the current price of $10.07. The base case fair value of $9.16 implies 9.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
